海上交通安全評価のための技術的ガイドライン策定に関する研究-IV : ニアミス危険の定量化と総合評価への指針

概要

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The purpose of this research work is to develop a model which analyzes the relationship of cause and effect of accident in quantitative terms. It depends on the behavior of mariner whether an accident will occur or not in the shiphandling process executing under the combination of the various conditions such as external disturbances, topographical restriction and traffic congestion. In the present paper, a quantitative model to express what magnitude of potential danger of near miss is latent when a mariner takes what kind of action in the shiphandling process is proposed. And a guideline to generalize the evaluation of the difficulty and the safety of the shiphandling is indicated by using a rating chart which is composed of the latent environmental stress value and the occurrence rate of near miss danger.
社団法人日本航海学会の論文
2000-03-25