Annual Incidence Rate of Infectious Diseases Estimated from Sentinel Surveillance Data in Japan
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概要
- 論文の詳細を見る
BACKGROUND: The estimation of incidence rates of infectious diseases based on the sentinel surveillance data is rather rare. We attempted to estimate these in 2000 in Japan by the surveillance data, and to evaluate their biases. METHODS: We used the incidences of influenza-like illness and 12 pediatric diseases in each of the sentinel medical institutions in Japan based on surveillance data in 2000. The incidence in all medical institutions was estimated under the assumption that the sentinel medical institutions were randomly selected. The possible bias of this estimate was evaluated in comparison with the hypothetical true incidence obtained as the total incidence in all medical institutions estimated by a regression model using the numbers of all disease outpatients per day from the National Survey of Medical Care Institutions of Japan. RESULTS: The estimated annual incidence rate was 75.6 (95% confidence interval: 72.3-78.7) per 1, 000 population in influenza-like illness, and ranged from 1.1 (95% confidence interval: 1.0-1.2) to 285.2 (95% confidence interval: 270.2-300.3) per 1, 000 population aged 0-19 years among 12 pediatric diseases. The ratio of the estimated incidence to the hypothetical true one was 1.06-1.26 among influenza-like illness and the 12 pediatric diseases. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence rates of influenza-like illness and pediatric diseases in 2000 in Japan were estimated from sentinel surveillance data. The rates obtained provide some useful but not always accurate information. Thus, further research is necessary. J Epidemiol2003;13:136-141.
- 日本疫学会の論文
著者
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HASHIMOTO Shuji
Department of Physiologic Laboratory, National Cardiovascular Center
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NAGAI Masaki
Department of Public Health, Saitama Medical School
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Taniguchi Kiyosu
Infectious Disease Surveillance Center, National Institute of Infectious Diseases.
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Nagai M
金沢大学 医学系研究科皮膚科学
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Nagai Masaki
Department Of Aeronautics And Astronautics University Of Tokyo
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MURAKAMI YOSHITAKA
Epidemiology and International Health Research Section, Environmental Health Sciences Division, Nati
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Taniguchi K
Infectious Disease Surveillance Center National Institute Of Infectious Diseases
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Taniguchi Kiyosu
Infectious Disease Surveillance Center National Institute Of Infectious Disease
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Murakami Yoshitaka
Epidemiology And International Health Research Section Environmental Health Sciences Division Nation
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OSAKA Ken
Infectious Disease Surveillance Center, National Institute of Infectious Diseases
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FUCHIGAMI Hiroshi
Saitama Health Promotion Corporation
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SHINDO Nahoko
Infectious Disease Surveillance Center, National Institute of Infectious Diseases
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FUCHIGAMI Hiroshi
Department of Public Health, Saitama Medical School
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Osaka Ken
Infectious Disease Surveillance Center National Institute Of Infectious Diseases
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Hashimoto Shuji
Department Of Applied Biological Chemistry Faculty Of Agriculture Niigata University
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Shindo N
Infectious Disease Surveillance Center National Institute Of Infectious Diseases
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