海峡および水道の船舶交通現象に関する研究 : (C-I) 水路網における船舶交通流のシミュレーション

概要

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The traffic capacity of network of waterways is important for the design of a canal system in a harbor. A program for the simulation of traffic flow is studied as the first step for the evaluation of the capacity. Since the data on the traffic in the canal system of Tokyo Harbor are compiled, the simulation is applied for the Keihin Canal and its vicinity in the system, where there are curves and a T-shaped crossing. The distributions of the ship size and speed are so determined to simulate the real ones and the time of ship arrival is assumed to follow the random distribution. The unit time, ΔT, for the simulation is determined as one tenth of the time necessary to proceed 8L_<mean>; the semi-axis major of the effective domain, where L_<mean> is the average length of ship. When no collision, stranding, nor deep violation of center line is expected in a time length of, 10ΔT, each ship is moved forward by ΔT・V, where V is the speed of each ship. However, when a ship is expected to collide, strand, or violate the center line, the change in direction is examined and followed. If no suitable steering is expected to avoid the danger, retardation is examined. An example of the distribution of ship traces is shown as the result of the simulation.
独立行政法人海上技術安全研究所の論文
1971-08-31