Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of Mortality due to Ischemic Heart Disease in Japan, 1955 to 2000
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概要
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Background Mortality from ischemic heart disease (IHD) has been showing a marked decline in Japan. The objective of this study was to clarify the effects of age, time period, and cohort on mortality from IHD in Japan from 1955 to 2000. Methods and Results IHD death data from vital statistics and national population surveys were tabulated for 11 5-year age groups (from 30-34 to 80-84) and 10 quinquennial demographic profiles (from 1955 to 2000), to yield 20 5-year birth cohorts (mid-years from 1873 to 1968). The stratified Age-Period-Cohort model with 7 age classes shows: (1) mainly linear age trends for men with IHD, but effects below the linear age trends for women in middle-aged groups (40-74 years); (2) a decline in the effect of time period on IHD for both men and women from 1970 to 1990, and a sharp increase between 1990 and 1995 along with the change of the International Classification of Diseases Code; and (3) 2 patterns for both sexes for non-linear birth cohort effects, an increase (1873-1928) and a decrease (1928-1968) for men, and an increase (1873-1923) and a decrease (1923-1968) for women, with a stronger effect for women than for men born between 1893 and 1938, but the reverse for men and women born between 1938 and 1968. Conclusion Declining effects of birth cohort on mortality rates of IHD for young and middle-aged people suggest that mortality rates are likely to continue to decrease in Japan.
- 社団法人日本循環器学会の論文
- 2008-05-20
著者
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ISO Hiroyasu
Department of Public Health Medicine, Doctoral Program in Social and Environmental Medicine, Graduat
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Takahashi Hideto
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Medicine, University of Tsukuba
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Ito Hiroyasu
Public Health Department Of Social And Environmental Medicine Osaka University Graduate School Of Me
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Iso Hiroyasu
愛媛大学 医学系研究科公衆衛生学
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Iso Hiroyasu
筑波大学 人間総合科学研究科社会健康医学
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TANIGAWA Takeshi
Department of Public Health Medicine, Institute of Community Medicine, University of Tsukuba
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YAMAGISHI Kazumasa
Department of Public Health Medicine, Graduate School of Comprehensive Human Sciences and Institute
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KOMACHI Yoshio
Osaka Prefectural Institute of Public Health
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Tanigawa Takeshi
Department Of Public Health Doctoral Program In Social Medicine Graduate School Of Medicine Ehime Un
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Takahashi Hideto
Department Of Epidemiology And Biostatistics Institute Of Community Medicine University Of Tsukuba
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Takahashi Hideto
Department Of Epidemiology Social And Environmental Medicine Graduate School Of Comprehensive Human
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Ma Enbo
Doctoral Program in Social and Environmental Medicine, Graduate School of Comprehensive Human Scienc
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Iso Hiroyasu
Department Of Public Health Medicine Graduate School Of Comprehensive Human Sciences University Of T
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Yamagishi Kazumasa
Departments Of Public Health Medicine Graduate School Of Comprehensive Sciences And Institute Of Com
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Yamagishi Kazumasa
Department Of Pubic Health Medicine Graduate School Of Comprehensive Human Sciences University Of Ts
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Ma Enbo
Doctoral Program In Social And Environmental Medicine Graduate School Of Comprehensive Human Science
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Komachi Yoshio
Department Ofepidemiology And Cvd Mass-examination The Center For Adult Diseases Osaka
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Imano Hironori
Public Health Department Of Social And Environmental Medicine Osaka University Graduate School Of Me
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Komachi Yoshio
Departments Of Public Health Medicine Graduate School Of Comprehensive Sciences And Institute Of Com
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Iso Hiroyasu
Department Of Internal Medicine Division Of Nephrology And Rheumatology Aichi Medical University Sch
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Yamagishi Kazumasa
Departments Of Public Health Medicine Graduate School Of Comprehensive Sciences And Institute Of Com
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Yamagishi Kazumasa
Departments Of Public Health Medicine Graduate School Of Comprehensive Sciences And Institute Of Com
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Komachi Y
Departments Of Public Health Medicine Graduate School Of Comprehensive Sciences And Institute Of Com
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Iso Hiroyasu
Department Of Public Health Medicine Doctoral Program In Social And Environmental Medicine Graduate
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Tanigawa Takeshi
Department Of Public Health Doctoral Program In Social Medicine Ehime University Graduate School Of Medicine
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