Development Planning Alternatives for Assiut Province, Egypt with Reference to Rapid Demographic Projection Model

概要

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The emphasis in population studies so far has been almost entirely on the sociological approach. One of the objectives of this paper is to maintain the balance, not by de - emphasizing sociology, but by adding a new perspective from the Demographic Model and planning techniques ,in order to come up with a clear identification of the possible alternatives to absorb the growing population for Assiut province in Egypt. In general, population structure is a concomitant effect of integrated changes in the socio-economic and rural urban issues. However, population studies play a big role in the process of development. Many important factors of the future situation facing the community which the planner must apply are derived directly from the population trends. In other words, most of the important decisions about the people's needs, land use, social services and technical infrastructure are derived from population estimates. Hence, in this paper in order to establish the population projection for the next period of time, we will use the Rapid Demographic Projection Model (computer program) to examine the people's needs (e.g. primary school, housing and basic health planning) in the projection years according to SFDM and RFDM. In conclusion, this study draws up WHO is responsible for WHAT and HOW financial resources about the future capabilities in Assiut province should be.
北海道大学の論文