Operational Control Modeling for Land Use Development of Flood Estimated Areas in Small Scale Basins

概要

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In recent years, the inundations in urbanized areas have been increasing. From this viewpoint the concepts of comprehensive flood control system has been proposed. It is the first purpose of this study to discuss a few points about the synthetic land use management in consideration of flood prevention in urbanized flood-prone areas. The second purpose is how to evaluate the feasible area in several watersheds by using dynamic quantitative models. As such techniques, two modelings are proposed, which are the System Dynamics Modeling (SD-Modeling) for an adaptive type and the Optimal Control Modeling for an optimal type. Both models have the purpose of deciding the scale of allowable development of urbanized areas and flood control investment. As the results, the regional safety level of flood control and the necessity of flood control measures can be evaluated by the SD model and the scale of land development and that of flood control measures can be decided on the basis of regional economic efficiency simultaneously by the Optimal Control Model.
北海道大学の論文
1985-01-11