27 サプライチェーン依存型企業の地震時業務停止期間短縮手法の確率論的リスク評価(F.一般セッション,一般論文発表)

概要

論文の詳細を見る
In order to implement BCP (Business Continuity Plan) for supply chain dependent enterprise, there is a need for a quantitative risk analysis method to evaluate alternatives to reduce the risks of such manufacturing system. The business interruption time is a crucial factor in terms of economic loss. A model enterprise with three factories (nodes) connected through series supply chain pattern is applied in analyzing the risk. Three types of alternative options, i) provision of redundant node, ii) seismic reinforcement of critical node, iii) provision of alternative node in other locations, for decreasing the risk are proposed. The annual exceedance probability of business interruption time of these options are calculated and compared. This risk analysis method is proven to be realistic and functional.
地域安全学会の論文