87. トルコと台湾の地震による人的被害に基づく間接被害額の推定(トルコ地震・台湾地震)

概要

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This Paper proposes a method to estimate indirect losses due to large scale natural disasters based on the GDP (Gross Domestic Product) and the average life span. We already applied to estimate indirect losses due to the Great Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake Disaster in 1995. Conventional approach requires death data in the damaged areas for average life span, which is not always available in many countries in the world. We tried our model to apply other countries using a correlation between the crude death rate and the average life span. In this paper, we put the method to the quakes in Turkey and in Taiwan in 1999. It was found that indirect losses in the first year were approximately estimated to be $3.33 billion in Turkey and $3.09 billion in Taiwan respectively.