2. 社会の防災ポテンシャルの評価に関する一考察(I. 一般論文その1,第Iセッション,第8回(平成10年度)地域安全学会研究発表会)

概要

論文の詳細を見る
The objectives of this paper are to propose the estimation method of disaster prevention potential against catastrophic natural disasters from a global point of view. The disaster prevention potential using hard countermeasures can be presented in terms of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) which shows the wealth of a nation. It was found that the average life span can be used to predict most factors related to the soft countermeasures. The Disaster Prevention Appraisal Index (DPAI) which is defined by a multiple logistic function can quantitatively estimate the disaster prevention potential of both hard and soft countermeasures. We applied the DPAI to the past catastrophic natural disasters in the world. The preliminary results from this analysis show that the estimation method is effective and useful for the global disaster prevention.
地域安全学会の論文