3510 列車運行・旅客行動シミュレータの構築(SS5,SS5 設備・サービス向上,J-Rail 2006)

概要

論文の詳細を見る
We propose a new method for train schedule evaluation which is based on passengers' experiences during their journey. Each passenger evaluates a train schedule by the total time from the origin station to the destination, the waiting time, the transfer times, the congestion level and the delay. In this paper, we have developed a simulation system for train operation and passengers' train choice behavior. Two estimations are parallely conducted the order of time, train delay due to a congestion, and each passenger's train choice. It can represent the interaction between train delay and passengers' behavior, such as train congestion causes train delay, and it, in turn, brings passenger concentration. It also models four types of passengers' behavior, earliest, transfer avoidance, congestion avoidance, transfer and congestion avoidance, reflecting each passengers' preference. By the two estimations, each passenger's experience during his journey is predicted. We applied this system for an actual line in metropolitan area, and evaluate two train schedules by calculating generalized cost reflecting each passenger's disutility in his experience. We can conclude that the method is promising for train schedule evaluation.
社団法人日本機械学会の論文
2006-12-13