地震の被害予測と発生確率の推定に基づく地域の震災ポテンシャル評価 : 徳島県の建物被害を事例に

概要

論文の詳細を見る
This study aims to estimate seismic risk potential in Tokushima Prefecture. For this purpose, it is necessary to take account of faults that may affect the region. Because high damage districts differ depending on which fault becomes active. So we analyzed estimates of damage to buildings and probabilities of occurrence on the assumption of three cases of earthquake, and evaluated seismic risk potential. The result indicates that in addition to districts that have inherent risk against earthquakes, districts near the strained faults are high potential. Districts around active faults in northern Tokushima were found to have particularly high risk potential. This finding may offer a useful index in selecting districts that should be given priority in preparing for disaster to mitigate damages.
社団法人日本建築学会の論文
2000-01-30