人的要因を考慮した安全システムのリスク解析手法について : 避難安全システムへの適用

概要

論文の詳細を見る
With the deterioration of the technical ability of ship operators of mixed nationalities, the frequency of incidence of marine accidents such as collisions, runnnig aground or ship fires also tends to increase gradually. The development of a methodology for the risk assessment analysis for the prevention of marine accidents originating from human errors is becoming highly desirable in recent years. This paper about these problems consists of the estimation of accident incidence probability based on the Fault Tree Analysis, the prediction of effectiveness to reduce the risk by suitable countermeasures in specified functional system, and the risk assessment by means of minimizing of the total cost expectation and the background risk. As a practical example, the risk assessment ayalysis for preventing from the deaths in the marine fire are investigated using the proposed method.
1999-09-04