危機時の心理過程と緊張度に基づく海洋事故の生起について

概要

論文の詳細を見る
It may be considerably difficult to establish the safety measures system prevented from occurring marine accidents caused by human factors without uniformity. The suitable safety measures have desirably to be taken to cope with the relation between the tensional stress of operators according to the state-transition and the incidence for human errors, during operating man-machine systems such as a ship maneuvering system. Especially, the thinking and behavioral abilities of snip operators tend to be affected psychologically by their mental task-load subjected to pressures under navigation environment. The mathematical model of psychological intelligence process in an emergency is contrived herein. The reductions of thinking faculty and operating ability by the tensional stresses in response to exposed environmental crises dining ship maneuvering are simulated using the proposed psychological model, and the self-isolation in psychological action as a panic state can be predicted to occur in the case of stimulus going beyond some threshold. Furthermore, the incidence probabilities of ship collision accidents are estimated considering psychological pressure under navigation environment by using the fault tree analysis together with the variation tree.
社団法人日本船舶海洋工学会の論文