EVALUATING MODEL UNCERTAINTY OF AN SPT-BASED SIMPLIFIED METHOD FOR RELIABILITY ANALYSIS FOR PROBABILITY OF LIQUEFACTION

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概要

• 論文の詳細を見る

• In this paper, an innovative procedure is developed for estimating the uncertainty of an empirical geotechnical model. Here, the Youd et al. (2001) method, a deterministic model for liquefaction triggering evaluation, is examined for its model uncertainty. The procedure for evaluating this model uncertainty involves two steps: 1) deriving a Bayesian mapping function based on a database of case histories, and 2) using the calibrated Bayesian mapping function as a reference to back-figure the uncertainty of the model. Details of the developed procedure within the framework of the first-order reliability method (FORM) are presented. Using FORM with the calibrated model uncertainty, the probability of liquefaction can be readily determined, and thus, the results presented in this paper extend the use of the Youd et al. (2001) method.

• 社団法人地盤工学会の論文

著者

• Zhang Jie

  Department Of Chemistry Fudan University

• Tang Wilson

  Department Of Civil Engineering Hong Kong University Of Science And Technology

• Fang Sunny

  Ardaman & Associates:clemson University

• JUANG C.

  Department of Civil Engineering, Clemson University

• KHOR ENG

  ANSYS, Inc., Probabilistic Design and Optimization Group

• KUNG GORDON

  Sustainable Environment Research Center, National Cheng Kung University

• Khor Eng

  Ansys Inc. Probabilistic Design And Optimization Group

• Kung Gordon

  Sustainable Environment Research Center National Cheng Kung University:clemson University

• Zhang Jie

  Department Of Civil Engineering Hong Kong University Of Science And Technology

• Zhang Jie

  Department Of Biochemistry And Molecular Biology Schools Of Life Sciences School Of Stomatology Lanz

• Fang Sunny

  Ardaman & Associates Fl Usa

• Juang C.

  Department Of Civil Engineering Clemson University:department Of Civil Engineering National Central

• Zhang Jie

  Department Of Anesthesia The First Affiliated Hospital Of Zhengzhou University

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