A study of the Cognitive Structure of Conflict over Disaster Mitigation Projects

概要

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Projects for disaster mitigation such as reservoirs often change the natural and social environments of a region. If people have different opinions on such changes, these projects may cause conflicts. Participatory disaster mitigation requires a mechanism for managing such conflicts. To promote stakeholders involved in a conflict to a compromise, it is necessary to understand the structure of the conflict. This study focuses on the relationship between people's recognition about a conflict and final outcome of the conflict. First, a model involving players' game-making process is constructed, and it is shown that opinion-summarizing rules can affect the outcome of a conflict. Second, a survey of people's cognitive structure of a conflict was made, and the results show the possibility of polarization between people's recognition and game theoretic model.
日本自然災害学会の論文