Future Predictions of Total Cholesterol, Glucose, and Uric Acid in Persons Having Periodic Health Care

概要

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We studied age-related changes of test results in persons aged 40 to 60 and the prediction of future test results in health care. The subjects were 184 individuals (143 men and 41 women) who have received health checkups for 10 successive years. The concentration of total cholesterol and glucose in men increased by aging (p <0.05), and the concentration of total cholesterol and uric acid in women also increased (p<0.05). Future individual test results could be estimated by using a linear regression equation of the four initial successive data. Although the probability of prediction was 37% to 97%, it could increase to 53% to 100% through the use of the six initial test results. This method is simple and useful to predict future test results. These predictions indicate that it could be possible to prevent lifestyle-related diseases.