自家用乗用車とその燃料需要のモデル化

概要

論文の詳細を見る
A model of private automobile use and its energy demand of Japan has been built. the model employs econometric modeling techniques with the data from 1965 to 1980. Key variables in the model are number of new registration, level of automobiles being operated, average run per year per car, average life time of cars and total fuel demand. Almost all equations show high goodness of fit. Simulation runs of the model by 1990 tell that demand for gasoline which has been used as a principal fuel for private automobiles will grow rather slowly in spite of relative high growth of number of automobiles being operated, as average run per year per car will slow down and standard fuel economy will be improved.
日本シミュレーション学会の論文
1982-10-15