たまねぎの商品先物市場上場への可能性(生物生産学科)

概要

論文の詳細を見る
Commodity future market has three big functions. Firstly it secures the transaction to the public. The transaction plays the conceptual sell & buy by appointment, but accounts settlement is required to keep as actual business. For this purpose the board of trade intermediates these exchanges as the public corporation so that the price formation process is really transparent and this transaction is so attractive in the agricultural products market where the non-market transaction has been expanding. Secondly hedging. Using this markets, the traders in the physical goods market business can manage and control the risk which would happen in future. Thirdly, averaging pricing. It enables the traders in related field to share the information about price perfectly. The purpose of this paper is to examine the adaptability for dealing onion in this market by testing the random walk hypothesis regarding the wholesale prices in each wholesale market. If rejected, the price movement can be forecasted by using time series procedure. We employed ARIMA model to estimate the related parameters for forecasting.
香川大学の論文
2003-03-28