上海・長江流域-神戸・阪神交易促進プロジェクトの経済効果

スポンサーリンク

概要

• 論文の詳細を見る

• After the Government of China adopted the opening policy in 1978, the economic ties with outer world increased greatly. In 1979-1994, from Japan to China, visitors increased ten times, export increased three times, and direct investment increased from 33 million dollars to 1 billion dollars. In the total trade of Kinki region, the export and import with China occupied 7.8 and 20.1 per cent respectively in 1995. The rapid increases of three flows (persons, trade and investment) and their impacts will be important key factors for the future development of related areas. This paper tried to describe the mutual enforcement of these three flows between two areas (Shanghai-Chang-Jiang-River-Area and Kobe-Kansai Area), and their long-term impacts on economic development of each area. We constructed an econometric model of 17 equations based on the time-series data of 1981-1992. The major endogenous variables are three kinds of flows between two areas, and income potentials of two areas. We applied this model to simulations in which we assumed the increase of transport infrastructure capital (0.5 per cent at Japan and 7.5-10.0 per cent in China), and calculated their effects in 10 years. The income potential increased by 2.1-2.5 per cent in Japanese side, and 5.4-7.5 per cent in Chinese side. Thus we confirmed that the transport investment in both sides are effective to promote the mutual flows between two areas, and to further economic development.

• 日本地域学会の論文

著者

• 山根 敬三

  摂南大学経営情報学部

• 福地 崇生

  名古屋市立大学

• 唐 國興

  復旦大学

• 任 兆璋

  華南理工大学

• 山根 敬三

  摂南大学

関連論文

• 神戸市経済の震災復興過程に関する計量経済学的研究 : 経済停滞要因のシミュレーション分析
• 神戸空港建設の長期的経済効果
• 上海・長江流域-神戸・阪神交易促進プロジェクトの経済効果
• 神戸市経済の地域構造変化に関する計量的研究 : 減速経済下のシミュレーション分析

スポンサーリンク