九州7県における人的資本の推計 : 大学志願率と非正規比率は人的資本に影響するか?

概要

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This paper estimates human capital of employees in Kyushu seven prefectures applying time series stochastic process that is AR(1) process adopting System of Prefectural Account（Kenmin Keizai Keisan in Japanese）data calculated with a correspondent methodology of the United Nation's SNA. The results show employees in Fukuoka obtain the largest amount of human capital in Kyushu, which seems very likely to most economists. The inequality among employees in Kyushu seven prefectures, calculated by coefficient of variance had tendency to decline until 1999 and is now rising very rapidly from 2000 on to reach at the highest level ever in 2006．This paper also adopts a panel data analysis to unveil what kind of factors affect human capital formation in the seven prefectures, which suggests both market size in the local area and education level have positive correlation to employees' human capital and irregular workers' ratio does negative to it. Moreover, and a dynamic panel analysis by system GMM estimation, using balanced panel data, suggests that college-bound ratio has somehow sizable effect to human capital.