タンカーの揚荷役中の漏油事故についての解析

概要

論文の詳細を見る
It is well known to all that Fault Tree Analysis technique is very useful to study the cause and effect chain of events, to estimate the probability of the occurrence of the top event, and to find out what are the essential points to prevent the outbreak of the top event. The authors have tried to apply this technique to approach the problem of what are the principal patterns of the cargo-oil spilling accidents from a VLCC when she is unloading, what is the probability of the occurrence of the spilling, and how they can minimize it. Under several premises; e.g., she loads only one kind of crude oil, she unloads all the cargo at one port, she is fitted with a COW system, the duration of unloading is 40 hours, and so on-the probability of the cargo-oil spilling is 6.5×10^<-3>. To reduce this probability, it is the most effective to reduce the cargo-oil leakage onto her upper deck.
社団法人日本航海学会の論文
1982-08-25