台風に起因する強風の極値分布についてのシミュレーションによる考察 : ポアソン確率モデルに基づく最大風速の極値分布(その3)

概要

論文の詳細を見る
Most part of the Japanese Islands belongs to a region of not well behaved wind climate. Observed annual maximum wind speed distributions in this region are generally not so smooth. However asymptotes of the extreme value distribution have frequently applied to these distributions to obtain the probabilities of design wind speed. It seems to be difficult to estimate the population of the distributions correctly. Strong winds caused by tropical storms can be estimated adequately by a probabilistic procedure based on statistical properties of the tropical storms. Simulations based on the same procedure may be yield sample distributions easily from a known population. We can investigate a fitting problem of distributions with samples from the known population. The Type III extreme value distribution is well applied to the samples representing a record of 30 years. But the samples hardly lead to the population as anticipated. It is newly recognized that the samples having large values provide large coefficients of variation.
社団法人日本建築学会の論文
1989-05-30