<資料>スポーツにおける強弱の要因について : 野球の場合

概要

論文の詳細を見る
The factor of chance in sports such as baseball can be examined statistically by using the concept of probability. By examining the records and results of tournaments based on a probability model, the factors of coincidences or luck can be eliminated, so that the real ability of a team may be determined. The rank of the team obtained this way may be different from that calculated from the mere results of the games. We interpret that the so-called "strong team" not only has chances to win, but really has a high probability of winning. In this research, we obtained an estimate of the winning potential of a baseball team in tournaments by using the statistical method of Bradley and Terry and Markov Chain, and examined the results, which were different from the order calculated from the percentage of victories to the total number of games.
東海大学の論文
1995-03-31