回帰二進木を用いた翌日最大電力の特徴抽出

概要

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In this paper, a new efficient feature extraction method is proposed to handle the one-step ahead daily maximum load forecasting. In recent years, power systems become more complicated under the deregulated and competitive environment. As a result, it is not easy to understand the cause and effect of short-term load forecasting with a bunch of data. This paper analyzes load data from a standpoint of data mining. By it we mean a technique that finds out rules or knowledge through large database. As a data mining method for load forecasting, this paper focuses on the regression tree that handles continuous variables and expresses a knowledge rule as if-then rules. Investigating the variable importance of the regression tree gives information on the transition of the load forecasting models. This paper proposes a feature extraction method for examining the variable importance. The proposed method allows to classify the transition of the variable importance through actual data.
社団法人電気学会の論文
2004-03-01