413 エネルギー需要量予測に基づくエネルギー供給システムの最適運用計画(エネルギー需給と空調システム評価・解析,環境保全型エネルギー技術分野)

概要

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The energy demands are predicted by using multiplication Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model in consideration of the application of the optimal operation plan to the energy supply system. The ARIMA model is identified to reduce the vibration and the fluctuation of the predicted values in addition to the minimization of the error margin of the predicted values and the measured values based on it. The prediction of energy demands and the optimal operation planning are held, and the effectiveness of the identified model is confirmed.
一般社団法人日本機械学会の論文
2006-07-11