患者需要予測システムの開発と適用 : 医療施設計画における患者マーケティングに関する研究(建築計画)

概要

論文の詳細を見る
We proposed a prediction model of patient population using a grid of 1×1 km squares, for project planning at medical treatment facilities, and conducted a validation study. To forecast population, we use a cohort model using assumed values of each prefecture (birth rate, survival rate and mobility rate). To predict the number of patients per facility, a Huff model derived from population estimates for each 1×1 km grid square and treatment rates were utilized. The patient treatment rate was the rate for each examination category derived from published data (patient surveys), taking into account sickness and injury characteristics for each prefecture and for nine age profiles. This enabled highly accurate patient number forecasting ; patient population estimates closely matched actual figures.
社団法人日本建築学会の論文
2003-06-20