子豚需給調整対策の経済効果
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概要
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It is said that the pig cycle is effected by unbalanced market, beside there is "Corn-Hog cycle" which is influenced by relation between two markets. In this case of the latter, one is a market of invested goods, the other is a market of hog. Invested goods are composed of feed for pig, piglet, labour, capital, and so on. It is very important that the invested goods are very closely connected to product hog. Under this condition of two-market equilibrium, the wholesale price of hog is influenced by demand quantity, but supply are from demand quantity of piglet. Therefore, it is possible to say that the fluctuation of hog price will be protected through the price policy of invested goods, especially like subsidy policy for feed price and adjustment measure piglet policy. By this simulation method, we would like to analyze how much the hog market would be influenced from the supply and demand adjustment measure policy on piglet. In the 1st quarter of 1986, the sows for breeding heads are slaughtered 13, 582, which is 2.330f the sows for breeding heads in the same period. If there is no enforcement above policy, then what would happen in piglet and hog market. The results are follows; By this policy, the supply of piglet increased 3.76%, and the price of piglet decrease 4.9% which appeared in the 2nd quarter and after. From this response, the supply of dressed carcass increased 0.57-0x1b1a00bfff8ebp-147nd the wholesale price of dressed carcass are down 4.47% which appeared 1 year after. The most effects by this policy are shown in the wholesale price of dressed carcass market. It is therefore confirmed that this policy can effects on both piglet market and dressed carcarr market.
- 千葉大学の論文
- 1991-03-01
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関連論文
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