世帯を単位とする高齢者福祉サービス量の推計モデル

概要

論文の詳細を見る
Our aim is to propose a quantitative method for estimating care service needs for the elderly in a municipality. First, we categorize each household by its family composition and the age of its oldest member. Assuming that care service potential of a household depends on the availability of a family member(s) without fixed employment in a good health, we calculate the number of households with no persons available for caring the elderly in need. Then, on the basis of expected ADL abilities of the elderly, the required number of home helpers, day care centers and nursing home beds are estimated as potential service needs. A transition matrix which describes changes of household types over time is used to forecast future needs for care services. We utilized household-based residents register (jumin-toroku) of a municipality in the Tokyo region for our experimental application.
社団法人日本建築学会の論文
1995-04-30