地域人口変動の推定について : 住宅地における人口構造 (5)

概要

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Constructing a new town, it is basic to calculate future population of the region. In such case, as the number of houses are planned at each stages, population are known through households. The method of this article is below put the number of households are constant. Divide the type of household into n and the ratio of types at immigration (F) is constant. Varies year by year, and the natural variation (V from year t to t+⊿t) is constant about households at any cities in Japan. Ratio (R) of the number of households emmigrated to the resident isconstant on each type of household. Knowing Fat year t, F at t+t is desided with R and V. From the household construction, the construction of another index of population such as age structure is decided. On age structure of a population is constant on each type of household (Z(F/A)). In this article we reported a case on planning a new town Kozozi, mother city of that is Nagoya-shi. To controle the population of a new town is important and we think it is possible by controling the number of houses to be constructed.
社団法人日本建築学会の論文
1965-03-28