家庭経済による国民経済安定化作用の検証 : 日本経済における実証分析

概要

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A long history of casual observations has asserted that households tend stabilize aggregate fluctuations both in terms of employment and of demands for goods and services. This paper tries to rigorously test the possibilety of their stabilezing effects by the standard statistica methods againt aggregate data of Japanese economy. In representing secular trends by means of growth functions, the short-term fluctuations in these data are estimated by the deviations from their growth functions. Their stabilizing effects are analyzed for possibility by means of covariances among these deviations. The estimated results exhibit that the stabilizing effects of household expenditures for services and nondurables exceed the similar effects of government expenditures and government capital formations on the fluctuation of GDE supposedly generated by those in business capital formations, and that the stabilizing effects of persons not in labor force, self-employed and unpaid family workers far exceed the similar effects of the unemployed on the fluctuations of employees.
社団法人日本家政学会の論文
1998-04-15