大阪モノレール南伸計画の費用便益分析
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概要
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In this paper， under the consideration of both local environmental status and transportation network， weimplement Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) for the southward extension plan of Osaka Monorail Loop-lineby applying a Choice Experiment (CE) method. It is estimated that the benefit cost (B/C) ratio is 1.35 under abasic scenario. In addition， with a consideration of different kinds of uncertainty in the future， a numberof sensitivity analyses are implemented. The results of sensitivity analysis indicate that the possibility ofgenerating net benefit is extremely high for the extension plan studied here.