感染症と気象に関する統計学的研究-1-特に溶連菌感染症について

概要

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In order to investigate relation between numbers of patient with streptococcal infectious disease (SID) and meteorological data, we carried out multiple regression analysis on numbers of patient with SID per a hospital per a decade of a month and meteorological data of max. temperature, mean temperature, relative humidity, mean vapor pressure, precipitation and total radiation on a horizontal surface per a decade of a month during the period from September in 1978 to March in 1983, using small computer of type Canon CX-1 and its program. A significant multiple regression equation with relatively high multiple correlation coefficient (0.8357) and proportion (0.69839) was obtained.<BR>The analysis tests on acute infectious non-bacterial gastroenteritis, herpangina, epidemic kerato conjunctivitis and varicella were also done, respectively, and then significant multiple regression equations with higher multiple correlation coefficients and proportions than that of SID were obtained with the exception of varicella.<BR>Thus, it seems likely to estimate numbers of patients with above each infectious disease from meteorological data.
日本感染症学会の論文