Shrinking or Cohesion? : Estimation for a Future Spatial Distribution of Demographic Structure and Building Age in Obihiro Urban Area

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概要

• 論文の詳細を見る

• Japan has entered to the era of population decline. The purpose of this study is to estimate the distribution of the zones are classified by cluster analysis based on the population and the number of people in house from 2010 to 2035 for Obihiro urban area that is a local city of Hokkaido in Japan by the generation constitution of the residents in each the zone and the distribution of building age. In this study, therefore, the population data which is published by Obihiro city government and the statistic data from the basic survey of urban planning were integrated. And the distribution of future population was estimated by the cohort analysis. In addition, the relation of spatial distribution of population and the building age in the future was analyzed. Finally, by the result of the extracted districts from the future population decline and aging buildings distribution, the direction of the renovation of Obihiro urban area was considered.

• Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studiesの論文

著者

• ARIMURA Mikiharu

  Department of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Muroran Institute of Technology

• ENDO Takuya

  Department of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Muroran Institute of Technology

• HASEGAWA Hironobu

  Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Akita National College of Technology

• TAMURA Tohru

  Graduate School of Engineering, Hokkaido University

関連論文

• Shrinking or Cohesion? : Estimation for a Future Spatial Distribution of Demographic Structure and Building Age in Obihiro Urban Area

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