大都市圏エコノメトリックモデルによる公共投資と過密対策にかんするシミュレーション分析

概要

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In this paper, we wish to analyse quantitatively the relations between public investment and overcrowdness in metropolitan regions. The method which we use is a technique of simulation by means of econometric model.The content of simulation analysis we examine is as follows:The results obtained from simulation analysis are as follows:(i) Population in daytime(ii) Traffic(iii) Regional IncomeAs is understanded, public investment on traffic had generated the crowdness of traffic relative to transportation capacity, which expanded with relatively show speed, in metropolitan region, say, asaka, nagoya and yokohama.On the other hand, public investment on welfare items had contributed to the growth of regional income and population inflow.As a conclusion we can say as follows. Aiming to the balanced growth without overcrowdness in metropolitan region, we had to allocate the government capital expenditure among traffic items and welfare items with properly composition.
日本地域学会の論文