沿道土地利用の将来予測
スポンサーリンク
概要
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In this paper a simulation model is developed, which estimates landuse of meshes in a linear (open and narrow) area along the main route in F-shi. This model directly describes landuse (pattern) with landuse potential. In this point it differs from other landuse model.The principal concept of this model is landuse pattern and landuse potential. The landuse pattern are groups composed of meshes which are grouped with landuse area ratio by quantification theory III, and the landuse pattern are arranged in turn. Estimation of landuse is described by change of these landuse pattern. The landuse potential is composed of quantitative factors and qualitative factors as traffic condition, hinterland condition, distance, and legal condition, landuse pattern, neighborhood condition, topographical condition, and calculated with two stages. In first stage a synthesis factor with quantitative factors is calculated by principal component analysis and a synthesis factor with qualitative factors is calculated by quantification theory III. In second stage landuse potential is caluculated by these synthesis factors and distance.The validation of this model is checked by comparison with actual landuse pattern and estimated landuse pattern in model. Consquently, it is sure that this model is useful to get basic information for landuse planning.
- 日本地域学会の論文