中国の主要四地域,二領域(都市・農村),二部門(formal・informal)分割による人口移動計量経済モデル : 北京地域・上海地域・広東地域・四川地域における分析
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The purpose of this paper is the model analysis of main 4-regions in China. We take up 4-regins. (1) Beijing area (Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei), (2) Shanghai area (Shanghai, Jiangsu), (3) Guangdong area (Guangdong). These three are expanding coastal region and face with big inflow of population. (4) Sichuan area (Sichuan, Chongqing), which is a retarded inland region and an origin of the biggest population outflow. We try to analyze population migration among these 4-regions, and their impacts on economic growth..Since 1950s under strict family register system, population migration was severely restricted in China, it started to grow only after 1978 due to liberalization trend. Since 1990s foreign investment rushed to coastal region, so the interregional difference with the retarded inland region has rapidly expanded. Inland rural areas (villages) are very poor, and excess workers are increasing. As restrictions of migrations were relaxed largely in 1990s, rural population started to migrate to urban and coastal regions. The current population movement is a serious policy issue. On the other hand, statistical information and quantitative studies about it are very scarce.We estimate the population migration function and construct 4-regions growth models, and divide each region into urban and rural areas and formal and informal sectors. By simulation studies combining these functions, we analyze the trend of population migration and assess their economic impacts on regional economic growth. This is a part of continuous research project, and an extension of earlier papers (Suzuki, and Fukuchi, 2000, 2001, and 2002).
- 日本地域学会の論文
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関連論文
- 中国の主要四地域,二領域(都市・農村),二部門(formal・informal)分割による人口移動計量経済モデル : 北京地域・上海地域・広東地域・四川地域における分析
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