MARKAL地域モデルを活用した自治体の長期エネルギーシナリオに関する検討—— 東京都の温暖化対策を題材に ——

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Now that the first five-year commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol has begun, the prevention of global warming is becoming an issue of highest priority in Japan. Promoting renewable energy and improving energy efficiency in each community are important challenges to reduce CO2 emissions. Therefore, this study focused on developing an energy planning method for local governments, particularly considering the following points. Research background and review of the MARKAL model focused on : ·Examining the historical research on local energy planning with MARKAL (Market Allocation) developed and maintained by the International Energy Agencys Energy Technology Systems Analysis Programme. ·Illustrating the basic structure of the Regional MARKAL model as mainly related with the Reference Energy System and a Regional energy balance table. Modeling the Enhanced Regional MARKAL model focused on : ·Improving the Reference Energy System of the Regional MARKAL model by associating it with renewable energy units and energy efficient technologies. ·Revising a regional energy balance table and extending data until 2005. ·Building local energy scenarios that consider different assumptions in each local government such as population size, economic conditions, etc. Application of the Regional MARKAL model focused on : ·Applying this Regional MARKAL model to Tokyo and evaluating energy consumption and CO2 emissions. This study developed an energy planning method for Japanese local governments. This Regional MARKAL model can be applied to all types of government. There is little experience in energy modeling at the regional level in Japan, so this model can be used by local governments as an effective tool in mid-to long-term planning for sustainable energy.JEL Classification: Q41, Q56, R58
日本地域学会の論文

MARKAL地域モデルを活用した自治体の長期エネルギーシナリオに関する検討—— 東京都の温暖化対策を題材に ——

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