滋賀DI（Shiga Diffusion Indexes）、滋賀CI（Shiga Composite Indexes）を軸とした新しい滋賀県景気指標の提案

概要

論文の詳細を見る
Although the economic data provided by Shiga Prefecture as a statistical collection are useful, I feel a discrepancy between simply providing these data and the assessment andforecast of the economic conditions in ShigaPrefecture. On the other hand, the voice of residents asking for an assessment of the economy in Shiga Prefecture is strong. Therefore, while deepening the diagnosis of the economy, it is also important to offer the information of the business condition index intelligible to people of the prefecture. Shiga Diffusion Indexes (SDI) and Shiga Composite Indexes (SCI), which I proposed in this paper, can contribute to this demand. These indices point out two things: (1) atime lag of about two quarters of the nationalbusiness situation, and (2) more stable change in the business conditions in Shiga Prefecturecompared with the national business situation.