減分主義の政治 : 日ソ さけます漁業交渉、1957年～1977年
スポンサーリンク
概要
- 論文の詳細を見る
Locating the Soviet-Japanese salmon catch negotiations of 1957-1977 in the broader perspective of emerging ocean politics, a time series model of negotiation processes and outcomes is constructed to thow that the negotiations can best be characterized as the politics of decrementalism.A state space equation model, as derived from modern control theory, is constructed to show the nature and characteristics of the decremental outcomes in the salmon catch negotiations from 1957 to 1976, with the major policy intervention of 1962 (i. e., the large scale expansion of the regulated areas) taken into account.The model is also used to“predict”the 1977 negotiation outcomes on the basis of parameters recursively estimated from the 1957-1976 data set.The model“predicts”very well the 1977 negotiation outcomes.In the light of the good predictive performance of the model, some conclusions and implications for conflict and its resolution in the context of Soviet-Japanese relations as well as in the context of the new ocean order are drawn.
- 東京大学東洋文化研究所,The Institute of Oriental Culture, University of Tokyoの論文
東京大学東洋文化研究所,The Institute of Oriental Culture, University of Tokyo | 論文
- インド密教における聖地と巡礼
- 戰國紀年再構成に關する試論 : 續
- 日本近世の亀趺碑 : 中国および朝鮮半島の歴代亀趺碑との比較を通して・その続
- 趙孟とその集団成員の「室」 : 兼ねて侯馬盟書を檢討する
- 1991年立法局選挙から見た香港の政治潮流