擬似予算編成としての交渉--世界二大漁業国間のさけます交渉,1957年〜1977年
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概要
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Drawing insights from the study of budgeting, five structural components of the Soviet-Japanese salmon catch negotiations 1957-1976 are identified, which lead the author to argue that the negotiations of this sort can be conceived of as quasi-budgeting.Using quasi-budgeting as an organizing concept, we construct four simple structural equations of the negotiations to explain the initial proposals for the Japanese catch by Japanese and the Soviet Union, the Soviet catch plan, and the agreed quota for the Japanese catch.The estimation results as well as the performance of the model on the basis of the 1957-1976 data set have been demonstrated to be very good in“predicting”the 1977 negotiation outcomes.On the basis of good performance of the model, some conclusions and implications for the Soviet-Japanese fishery negotiations and for the quota negotiation of various sorts at a time of neomercantilism as well as for the study of negotiation in general are drawn.
- 東京大学東洋文化研究所,The Institute of Oriental Culture, University of Tokyoの論文
東京大学東洋文化研究所,The Institute of Oriental Culture, University of Tokyo | 論文
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