中露の経済交流をめぐる問題と展望 : 国境地域におけるモノ・ヒトの交流
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概要
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This paper concentrates on the Sino-Russian economic exchange movements of commodities and humans, including border trade and ordinary foreign trade. Although Sino-Russian trade tends to increase since 2000, it is easily affected by Russian economic conditions or the price of resources, especially oil prices. Many trade disincentives also exist, for example Russia frequently changes her trade policies or tariff rates and corrupt Russian custom officers falsified customs' statistics. Because preferential treatment for border trade has disappeared, border trade has stagnated customs' statistics. The 2011 summit meeting expanded the trade targets to 200 billion US dollars by 2020. Russia joined WTO in August 2012 and her trade policies have gradually improved, then it would be able to have a good influence for Sino-Russian trade. Concerning the Chinese immigrants, since the Chinese push factor exceeds the Russian pull factor, Russia sometimes rejects imported labor, and sometimes accepts it. But since China's younger generation born after the 1980s who reflect the country's only-one-child-policy avoid dangerous, dirty, and daunting (3D) work and have strong human rights, the push factor will probably decrease in the near future. Even though China and Russia share a long border, their relationship would improve if China were to export high-tech commodities and refuse to export extremely cheap illegal labor. Russia could also export manufacturing goods and resources.
- 2013-06-30