Human reliability in Grounding and Collision of Ships
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概要
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Conventional maritime regulations are a collection of measures established after the occurrence of casualties. Although the regulations are meaningful, not all of them are rational. In the light of these circumstances, IMO (International Maritime Organization) decided to introduce PSA (Probabilistic Safety Assessment) in rule making process after about 2002, with the focus on FSA (Formal Safety Assessment). The FSA take into consideration human elements in addition to functional elements. Methods for probabilistic reliability analysis of complex functional systems considering human behavior are few in published number, especially in marine affair. This report investigates methods has been recorded in predictive form in maritime accidents inquiry records. These records should be expressed quantitatively if they are to be debated in the same arena as related structural reliability. In this report, human behavior is express by clausal logic, which is the basis of Prolog system.
- 財団法人日本海事協会の論文
財団法人日本海事協会 | 論文
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