分布としての避航領域と航過距離分布の解析

概要

論文の詳細を見る
Theoretical models of the effective ship domain and the passing course in overtaking are proposed. The models give spatial distributions of both the effective ship domain and the passing courses in overtaking. The distributions are reduced by aggregating the probabilistic behaviours of individual ships overtaking under given circumstances. The most basic idea of the models is in the utility function of the individual ships expressed by the term of collision risk in overtaking and the probability model of uncertainty of the course of the overtaken ship. The accuracy of the proposed models is examined by the radar observational data at East Bisan Strait in Japan, which give the spatial distribution of the passing courses of overtaking ships. The results show good fitness of the proposed models.
社団法人日本航海学会の論文
1985-03-20