Prediction of debris flow occurrence in mizunashi river with 1-3 hour rainfall amount forecast

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概要

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• The prediction expreiments of debris flow occurrence with flooding in Mizunashi river are made using the rain score predicted by the 1-3 hour rainfall forecasting method. The results show the usefulness of rain score P information for the precaution activity of inhabitants against the damage. They have sufficient time of 20-30 minutes for escaping from debris flow hazard in all cases tested, if the precaution activity is started at the time when the predicted P is crossing the criterion P≧-5 with 62.5% probability of debris flow occurrence or P≧0 with 75% probability.

• 山口大学の論文

著者

• SHIOTSUKI Yoshiharu

  Department of Civil Engineering

• SHIBASAKI Kazuya

  Department of Civil Engineering

• MINAMI Masaaki

  Department of Civil Engineering

• MINAMI Masaaki

  Department of Bacteriology, Nagoya City University Graduate School of Medical Sciences

関連論文

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