中国における天然ガス・LNGの需給動向と見通し(<特集>アジア太平洋地域における天然ガス開発と将来展望)

概要

論文の詳細を見る
Until recently, China's natural gas consumption has been limited to local natural gas producing provinces. Since natural gas transportation was limited to areas near the production site, low cost gas supply was possible. Conversely, the demand for natural gas has recently grown in large cities, where the use of coal gas has already spread with modernization. In consideration of such trends, China set out a policy to raise the share of natural gas in the country's energy mix in its Long-term Energy Development Plan. According this plan that the primary energy demand over the next 20 years would increase at an annual rate of 3.2%-4.1% about half the economic growth rate projected by Chinese government (7%). the total energy demand will almost double in 20 years. Conversely, the predicted growth in demand for natural gas is an average of 12% a year. Thus, the share of natural gas in the primary energy will increase from 2.5% in 2000 to 12.5% in 2020. This suggests that the use of natural gas will grow at least three times as fast as that of other fossil fuels. As such, the China's expectations for natural gas are very high. The major driving forces from demand side is environmental pressure and from supply side are improvements of social infrastructure with economic growth, in the west in particular, and stable energy supply.
一般社団法人日本エネルギー学会の論文
2004-02-20