グローバルモデルの動向

概要

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Global modeling has been stimulated by the great progress since the Limits to Growth report presented to the Club of Rome in 1972. This report made a pioneering analysis of global systems, attempting to see how such factors as population, environment, energy, resources, and food production are related to one another. This article deals with 1) a survey of global models, 2) main features of these global models, 3) new trends in global modeling and 4) an expected role of global modeling. In this context, the author suggests a dynamic soft systems approach toward a new direction of global modeling. It is supported not only by the soft sciences but also new developments in the interrelated fields of natural sciences such as life science, biotechnology and ecology etc. He felt the need for the FUGI model to go beyond its present capacities centerd around an economic model and to develop into a model that can analyze global complexes of symptons including displaced persons issues. He is thus expanding the scope of a new generation of FUGI model to deal with such issues.
日本シミュレーション学会の論文
1986-11-15