FUZZY PARTITIONING AND ITS APPLICATION TO RESERVOIR OPERATION PROBLEM : A MULTISTAGE APPROACH USING MARKOV CHAIN

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概要

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• In this paper, we investigated mathematical models on reservoir operation problem and provided a fuzzy model based on Markov chain time series for Karkheh dam in Iran. Based on fuzzy partitioning of monthly stream flows, calculated by time series, a Markovian forecasting model was developed. A deterministic and a fuzzy partitioning stochastic dynamic programming model were formulated for the problem. The goals were formulated with weighting priorities and the optimal reservoir operation was determined. Using historical data, the performance of the dam was simulated. Results of this simulation clearly showed that the fuzzy partitioning proposed stochastic model outperforms the deterministic model.

• 社団法人日本オペレーションズ・リサーチ学会の論文

著者

• Rostamy Ali

  Tarbiat Modarres University

• Azar Adel

  Tarbiat Modarres University

• Farazmand Mehran

  Tarbiat Modarres University

関連論文

• FUZZY PARTITIONING AND ITS APPLICATION TO RESERVOIR OPERATION PROBLEM : A MULTISTAGE APPROACH USING MARKOV CHAIN
• ファジィ分割法とその貯水池運用問題への応用 : マルコフ連鎖による多段決定

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