九州地域における公共投資と人口移動のシミュレーションモデル

概要

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The arrival of self-supports by regional governments and societies is seen to come in the near future in Japan. In that situation，it has been becoming more important to draw the future design of regional economies precisely. In this study，the author firstly analyzes the relationships among the migration and income disparities，social capital stock disparities in different demographics in male and female. Then，he develops the new type of a forecasting model linked with population model and economy model. As a concrete example，he takes Kyushu region and implements the simulation analysis of long-term influence in which interregional allocation of public investment impacts the regional economy by connecting population forecasting model of cohort component method and regional econometrics model to migration model depending on sex and age. By doing the above analyses，the future of regional economy might be cleared at least in some cases of regional policies.
2000-12-26