非静力学領域気候モデルによる気候変動予測結果を用いた日本沿岸における高潮の将来変化予測
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概要
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An advance of the computing technology has evolved climate projection calculations. Resolution of global climate models becomes higher and has reached to several tens of kilometres. Mesoscale models enable to simulate cumulus cloud convection have been developed and applied to extreme weather systems. This study directly uses the downscaling of climate change experiment by high-resolution non-hydrostatic Regional Climate Model with 5km grids (RCM5) for the simulations of storm surges to assess impacts of future change of storm surges around coasts of Japan. Increment of storm surge will not take place uniformly and there are strong regional dependencies influenced by typhoon track and intensity change. Return periods of storm surges will change significantly in the future climate especially in the western Seto Inland Sea, Japan.
- Japan Society of Civil Engineersの論文
Japan Society of Civil Engineers | 論文
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