Storm Surges in Mikawa Bay Caused by Maximum Possible Typhoons Based on the SRES A1B Scenario
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概要
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A climate in September of 2099 based on the SRES A1B scenario was assumed as the future climate affected by the global warming. Initial fields of 200 potential typhoons striking Mikawa Bay under the assumed future climate were provided by using potential vorticity bogussing scheme of a tropical cyclone. Then, distributions of the possible maximum storm surges generated by the 200 potential typhoons were predicted by using an atmosphere-ocean-wave coupled model. The results showed the potential storm tides in the whole area of Mikawa Bay exceed 2.75 m, which is the largest storm tide ever recorded in Mikawa Bay. The maximum storm tide of 4.9 m height in Mikawa Bay was caused in Takahama located at the western inner part of Mikawa Bay.
- Japan Society of Civil Engineersの論文
Japan Society of Civil Engineers | 論文
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